| Egypt unveiled a sweeping set of economic targets yesterday during the official launch of its National Economic Development Narrative, signaling a pivot toward higher growth, stronger private sector participation, and greener investments. Announced by Planning and Economic Development Minister Rania Al-Mashat, the narrative lays out bold fiscal targets aimed at catalyzing growth, job creation, and private sector empowerment.
The event, held in the New Administrative Capital and backed by Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly, focused on a series of hard numbers that will now guide public policy and investment strategy across the coming five years.
A New Set of Targets to Drive Growth
At the heart of the plan is an aggressive target for real GDP growth, which the government aims to raise to 7% by 2030, up from an estimated 4.5% in the fiscal year 2025/2026. This marks the most ambitious growth goal since Egypt’s structural reform program began in 2016.
Supporting this growth trajectory is a push to expand total investment as a share of GDP from 15.2% to 18%. Within that, private investment is expected to rise significantly, climbing from 60% to 66% of total investment volume, and from 9.1% to 11.9% of GDP.
“This is not just a vision—it’s a measurable, accountable roadmap for economic transformation,” said Minister Al-Mashat during the presentation. “We are centering private sector dynamism, environmental sustainability, and job creation in every policy decision.”
Private Sector at the Core
Perhaps the clearest sign of the state’s shifting role in the economy is the target to raise the private sector’s share of GDP to 82% by 2030, a major jump from the current 77.1%. This represents a significant recalibration in how Egypt plans to allocate public resources and design regulatory incentives.
The government is also doubling down on job creation, aiming to generate 1.5 million new jobs each year by 2030, up from 900,000 forecasted for FY2025/2026. This is particularly vital for a country where youth unemployment and underemployment remain persistent challenges.
A Greener Public Investment Portfolio
Another standout figure from the newly released data is Egypt’s commitment to sustainability: green public investments will rise from 50% of the total to between 70% and 75% by 2030. This includes funding for renewable energy, clean transport, and climate-resilient infrastructure.
By explicitly linking growth targets with environmental benchmarks, Egypt is signaling to global investors and climate finance institutions that it is aligning national priorities with international climate commitments.
Summary of Key Targets by 2030:
| Indicator | Current (2025/26) | Target (2030) |
|---|---|---|
| Real GDP Growth | 4.5% | 7% |
| Total Investment (% of GDP) | 15.2% | 18% |
| Private Investment (% of Total Investment) | 60% | 66% |
| Private Investment (% of GDP) | 9.1% | 11.9% |
| Private Sector Share of GDP | 77.1% | 82% |
| Green Public Investment (% of Public) | 50% | 70–75% |
| Jobs Created Per Year | 900,000 | 1.5 million |
Broader Context
These numbers are not emerging in a vacuum. Egypt is currently undergoing a review of its $8 billion loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), alongside parallel sustainability funding mechanisms. The new narrative arrives as both a reform blueprint and a signaling tool to international partners, including investors, lenders, and multilateral institutions.
The plan also enters a two-month public consultation phase, during which policymakers will collect feedback from economists, civil society groups, and business leaders. A final version is expected by December 2025.
What’s Next?
The real test lies not in the ambition of the numbers, but in their execution. Achieving a 7% growth rate while nearly doubling job creation and lifting private investment will require deep reforms in bureaucracy, regulation, infrastructure, and education. The next five years will show whether Egypt can turn metrics into momentum.
